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Kohat Cement earns net profit of PKR1.526bn in 1HFY19

Kohat Cement Co Ltd (KCCL) has announced its financial results for the half year ended 31 December 2018, declaring a net profit for the period of PKR1.526bn (US$10.9m), a fall of 7.17 per cent YoY, as compared to PKR1.644bn in the same period last year.

The company had net sales during the half year PKR8.391bn from PKR6.867bn during this period, an increase of 22.19 per cent. KCCL incurred increasing distribution costs of PKR 73m against PKR68m in the same period last year. The administrative expenses also increased to PKR127m compared to PKR101m incurred in the same period last year.

Saudi mega projects unable to halt cement demand decline in 2019

Saudi Arabia’s high-profile large-scale project will be unlikely to halt a fall in cement demand in 2019, according to Al Rajhi Capital.

The third-quarter of 2018 saw sales volumes decrease by 13 per cent YoY with average sales prices remaining week despite the price hike in the fourth quarter experienced by some cement producers.

In 2019 this decline in demand is expected to continue as the government’s capital spending remains limited and construction costs rise. The research house forecasts domestic cement consumption to fall of five per cent YoY to around 39Mt with the central region being impacted particularly. City Cement, Riyadh Cement and Qassim Cement have seen sales decreased by double digits.

Fauji Cement Company Limited (FCCL)

Fauji Cement Company Limited (PSX: FCCL) is operating in the north zone of the cement industry, supplying cement to domestic markets in the north as well as exporting markets including Sri Lanka, India, Afghanistan, South Africa, and the MENA region. The company operates two cement lines located in the Jhang Bahtar district of Attock. It started operations in 1997 with a capacity of over 3000 tons per day subsequently enhancing it in 2005 to 3,885 tons per day, which is approximately 1.2 million tons. Another production line was added in 2011 and through a series of capacity expansions; the company raised this capacity to 3.27 million each year with major equipment supplies from leading Germany and Swiss companies.

The company also installed a refuse derived fuel processing plant in 2009 and set up 12 MW of waste heat recovery unit (WHR) that started to produce electricity in 2015 utilising waste. This is a common practice amongst cement manufacturers and is meant to ease the pressure on grid based electricity. Together the captive power based on gas and dual fuels is 22MW.

In 2016, the company had an accident on site that destroyed the raw meal cement silo for line-II and the coal mill it collapsed on. The company had to rehabilitate its plant and decided to enhance the capacity of the line from 7200 tons to 7600 tons per day (or from 2.16 million tons to 2.28 million tons annually). The new line came back online in Oct-17. Together with that, a 9 MW WHR and a 12.5 MW of captive solar power are being introduced to be commissioned by mid-2019.

The company is owned by the Fauji group with 36 percent of the shares by the Committee of Admin Fauji Foundation while another 13 percent are held by other associate companies in the group including Fauji Fertilizer and Fauji foundation. More than 30 percent of the shares are held by the general public while the rest are distributed amidst modarabas, mutual funds, joint stock companies, banks, DFIs and foreign companies.

Operational and financial performance 

Fauji is one of the bigger cement manufacturers with a market share of 8 percent based on capacity in 2017-however, which should have fallen to 6 percent since new expansions have come in. In terms of dispatches, in the outgoing FY18, Fauji grabbed a 7 percent market share. The company has also had improving levels of capacity utilisation which speaks for growing efficiency of its plant and its strong market presence. It grew from 36 percent in FY11 to 75 percent in FY15, 85 percent in FY17 and 97 percent in FY18. Soon after the accident, the company opted to buy clinker from nearby locations to keep its utilisation levels and market share on the same level as before, though at a big hit to their margins.

The company’s accident did however come at a rather in opportune time. The FY17 saw massive demand coming from domestic market particularly driven by mega infrastructure projects and development expenditure doled out by government. Simultaneously, economy expansion led to greater activity in the construction and housing sector as well. Though Fauji was able to grow its sales, the higher cost of clinker purchase led the company to lose majorly on the bottom line. Margins dropped to 22 percent in FY17 from 46 percent in FY18. Clinker purchase costs during FY17 were about 53 percent of cost of goods sold.

Once the plant was rehabilitated though, the golden period for the cement sector was nearly over. Higher competitive pricing in the north due to greater capacity led to retention prices dropping while costs of coal and other fuels were also headed up. At a time when the company was producing at maximum capacity utilisation, margins could only improve to 24 percent in FY18 but that too because it was producing clinker again. The rest of the industry started to see their margins drop.

During the outgoing year, aside from the 12000 tons of capacity enhancement, the company also upgraded its yard clinker feeding system at line-I to increase plant reliability, replaced the old premising bin with a new one at raw mill-I, installed a waste clink hopper to handle the waste clinker moving out of the system, upgraded the cooler system, brought a new bucket elevator at silo-I for material transportation, added cement packing capacity in line-II and improved its coal stacking system. This will no doubt improve the efficiency of the plants while the new WHR and captive facilities will further bring down production costs.

Recent operations and future outlook 

The silver lining for Fauji is that despite the accident, it has retained its market share in the north at 6-7 percent. It kept buying clinker till October when the new silo came into operation at plant-II. In 1HFY19, the company saw its revenue grow by only 2 percent, but everything else shows drastic improvement. The company is no longer buying clinker so cost of goods came down by 8 percent during the first half of the current fiscal. This has allowed margins to grow to 29 percent from 22 percent during this time last year.

All other costs despite higher exports have remained stable which led to a growth in the bottom line by 43 percent. This year would level Fauji with the rest of the industry after its 2-year blip as the plants become fully operational. The captive power based on solar energy is particularly inspiring and could set itself up as an example for successful application of renewable energy into captive power. For an industry that has gone in the direction of coal based power plants, the success of this project could turn motivate others to follow suit.

Afghanistan and India are becoming tougher markets for Pakistani cement-particularly taking into account the political tensions that Pakistan maintains with both. This will hurt cement players in the north especially at a time when local domestic market is experiencing a slump. Moreover, coal prices, the depreciation of the rupee have already wreaked havoc to costs and further movement upwards will adversely impact cement manufacturers. Even if they pass on the costs to the consumers, the demand is simply not there, and may even get displaced by imported cement if the prices are not managed. From here on out, Fauji is the in the same boat as other players located in the north and hasn’t seen the end of its tough times.



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Pattern of Shareholding (as on June 30, 2018)

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Categories of Shareholders Share

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Directors and their spouse(s) and minor children 0.05%

Associated Companies 48.9%

Committee of Admin Fauji Foundation 35.87%

Fauji Foundation 3.53%

Fauji Fertilizer Bin Qasim 1.36%

Fauji Oil terminal 1.36%

Fauji Fertilizer 6.79%

Modarabas 0.02%

Mutual Funds 1.81%

Insurance Companies 1.28%

Investment Companies 0.27%

Joint Stock Companies 6.67%

Foreign Companies 4.21%

Pension Funds 0.24%

Others 0.92%

Banks, development finance institutions, 4.30%

non-banking finance companies etc.

General Public 31.32%

Total 100%

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Source: Company accounts



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Fauji Cement- 1HFY19

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Rs (mn) 1HFY19 1HFY18 YoY

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Sales 10,431.14 10,268.49 1.6%

Cost of Sales 7,383.31 8,040.36 -8.2%

Gross Profit 3,047.84 2,228.13 36.8%

Distribution costs 120.72 119.99 0.6%

Administrative 192.39 174.40 10.3%

Other operating expenses 189.76 137.40 38.1%

Other income 83.33 35.15 137.1%

Finance cost 53.38 73.94 -27.8%

Profit before tax 2,574.91 1,757.55 46.5%

Taxation 751.12 489.76 53.4%

Net profit for the period 1,823.80 1,267.80 43.9%

Earnings per share (Rs) 1.32 0.92 43.5%

GP margin 29% 22% 34.7%

NP margin 17% 12% 41.6%

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Source:PSX notice

Copyright Business Recorder, 2019

Cemtech Middle East & Africa off to successful start

Over 200 delegates from the global cement industry have come together for Cemtech Middle East & Africa 2019, which is being held at the Grand Hyatt Dubai, UAE, between 17-20 February.

International Cement Review’s Managing Director, Thomas Armstrong, inaugurated the conference by welcoming delegates to Dubai. Mr Armstrong considered how oversupply is one of the largest issues that dominates the cement sector in the Middle East and African region, with a 55-60 per cent utilisation rate in 2017. Possible solutions for this issue include the export of cement and the optimisation of facilities. In particular, optimisation is a key focus of the event programme, with a break-out session delivered by INFORM (Germany) and a presentation on utilising AI for this purpose by McKinsey & Co (Germany).

Ahmad Al-Rousan, Secretary General of the Arab Union for
Cement and Building Materials (AUCBM) welcomes delegates
to Cemtech Middle East & Africa at the Grand Hyatt Dubai, UAE

Following this, Eng Ahmad Al-Rousan, Secretary General, Arab Union for Cement and Building Materials (AUCBM) delivered a welcome address for the event. Mr Al-Rousan noted that Cemtech MEA “is coming in a time when the cement industry is facing a very big change and big problems.” In total, member countries have 175 integrated plants and over 30 grinding mills, delivering a cement capacity of 353Mta. However, actual production for 2018 was 240Mt. One of the major factors contributing to this supply-demand gap are the ongoing wars in some of its member countries. Finishing, Mr Al-Rousan stated this ‘this conference is very important to exchange experience and to discuss all of these problems […] and to see what we want to happen in the future’. 

Paul Roger, Exane BNP Paribas (UK), opened the main conference programme with an outlook of global cement markets over the 2019-22 period. Mr Roger outlined some of the most important issues that producers will face in the medium-term including the impact of new sustainability regulations, Chinese expansion with Anhui Conch looking to expand overseas, equipment suppliers reducing barriers to entry and consolidation after mergers like Lafarge-Holcim and Heidelberg-Italcementi have reshaped the industry in key markets.

Tony Hadley delivered an analysis and outlook of the cement sector in sub-Saharan Africa. Providing an outlook of the issues of the sub-Saharan and north African cement sector, Mr Hadley reflected that previously “we have talked about the turmoil and that has probably come to a head in many parts of Africa.” In emerging markets, large overcapacity has led to some producers altogether leaving the market and moving to more developed regions. Furthermore, larger multinationals are expected to move away from mergers and acquisitions to focus on internal strategies. 

Hettish Karmani, U-Capital (Oman), looked at corporate performance in GCC markets and gave an outlook for the region in 2019. In terms of economic performance, the GCC region is expected to record around 3.9 per cent GDP growth in 2019. While total installed capacity of the cement sector is still expected to increase slightly, as a whole capacity growth is expected to slow considerably as a result of oversupply. Demand is expected to show minor growth compared to 2018 and reach 81Mt in 2019. 

DG Khan’s Arif Bashir (Pakistan) presented a case study of the construction and commissioning of Pakistan’s largest cement facility at 9000tpd. Alongside this project, cement capacity in the country is expected to rise from 48Mta in 2018 to 63.26Mta in 2019. Providing a background for the new capacity, Dr Bashir stated that the reason the “cement industry is growing in the country is because there are a lot of interesting projects coming up”, with China alone investing around US$68bn for new infrastructure projects.  

Pritish Devassy, Al Rajhi Capital (Saudi Arabia), provided an economic context for the cement sector in Saudi Arabia and considered methods which could stabilise the industry in the country, such as shutting down old capacity alongside mergers and acquisitions. However, Mr Devassy also suggested that it may be more profitable to start a new company, rather than buying an established one through the open market. Finally, although it would likely be financed by players external to the country, planned mega-projects such as Neom provide a positive outlook for cement demand.

The final session of the day moved away from evaluating the regional markets, with ASEC’s Ayman Hassan (Egypt) exploring the possibilities for monitoring and controlling cement mill vibration. Further along the production process, Markus Horstkötter (Haver & Boecker) showed the company’s innovative solutions which aim to move packaging technology into the future. Meanwhile, Olaf Michelswith (InterCem Engineering) highlighted the potential of Europe’s first network of regional modular grinding plants. Finally, Javier Martinez Goytre of GlobBULK Consulting (Spain) compared light assets and traditional shiploading facilities for clinker exports.

The programme is scheduled to continue with a series of presentations outlining the latest developments in manufacturing technology from the leading industry equipment suppliers, including Gebr Pfeiffer looking at the construction of turnkey EPC grinding terminals and FLSmidth highlighting its latest kiln firing technology.

The conference programme will finish on Wednesday, 20 February with a plant tour to Arkan Building Materials’ 4.5Mta facility in Al Ain.Published under Cement News

India halts cement purchases from Pakistan

KARACHI: Indian importers have asked Pakistani cement exporters to recall their containers destined for the country following 200 per cent increase in duty on various products and tense situation arising out after the Pulwama attack.

“The industry has started receiving messages from Indian buyers to recall containers. Some exporters have started recalling their shipments,” a cement exporter, who asked not to be named, said.

The exporter said 600-800 containers loaded with cement are currently at Karachi Port, high seas or at Colombo and Dubai.

He said cement exports to India were set to thrive further following the Indian government’s decision of allocating Rs 50 billion rehabilitation fund for Kerala which was devastated by floods in 2018. “As a result, both price and demand were on the rise after an additional demand,” he said.

Shipments en route being recalled; up to 800 containers stuck

“However, after the Pulwama attack, the situation has reversed. Our exports will remain in jeopardy till the next government takes control of India by June this year after the general elections,” he feared. According to him, Pakistan’s annual cement export to India hovers between $70-80 million.

The exporter said 75pc of Pakistan’s cement exports to India were done via the Wagah border while the rest by the sea route. Exports to India between July-January of the current fiscal year stood at 648,108 tonnes, while exports in 2017-2018 stood at 1.212m tonnes.

As per data of All Pakistan Cement Manufacturers Association (APCMA), cement exports began in 2007-2008 with shipment of 786,672 tonnes and since then continued to rise. Pakistan’s highest ever exports of cement were to India – a massive 1.253 million tonnes in 2016-2017.

According to Shajar Capital (SC), the trade balance between the countries is almost $1.36bn and in India’s favour.

This makes the circumstances dismal on India’s end in case of a reciprocation of the response (in the form of duty hikes) by Pakistan.

Pakistan’s exports to India are worth almost $484m as of FY18 versus imports of about 1.8bn during SPLY. The country’s exports to India comprise of raw hides and skins ($21.4m) and other minor groups including cotton, medical equipment and mineral fuels etc.

The import composition on the other hand consists of cotton ($346.8m), organic chemicals ($267.5m), plastics ($115.8m), machinery (101m) and others including dyeing extracts, rubbers, iron and steel etc.

The immense upsurge from 7.5pc duty previously levied on cement imports to 200pc effectively means a complete ban on any purchase from Pakistan. However, the impact of the imposed raise of duty will not be as extensive, SC notes.

Around six companies export cement to India out of which DG Khan Cement and Maple Leaf Cement enjoy a greater share due to low transportation cost via road. Their exports will be more vulnerable to a slight decline in despatches.

Pakistan has major construction projects lined up for the current and upcoming years including commencement of civil work on the Mohmand dam by March-19, construction of Gwadar International airport along with hospitals and vocational centers starting by April 2019, construction of special economic zones, high rises in Islamabad and the government’s housing scheme. All these factors combined with growing international demand will help the industry retain prices and maintain its profitability in the long run, SC added.

According to Syeda Humaira Akhtar at BMA Capital, India previously imposed 19pc duty on cement imports from Pakistan, which was later removed in 2007 in the wake of rising local demand and limited production capacity particularly in Indian Punjab.

The increase in duty has effectively priced out Pakistan’s cement exports to India (current retention excluding duty resides around $44 per tonne).

She said apart from Kohat Cement, Lucky Cement and Attock Cement Pakistan Ltd (ACPL) appear to be the least affected given lower quantum of sales to India.

Meanwhile, Patron-in-Chief All Pakistan Fruit and Vegetable Exporters, Importers and Merchants Association (PFVA), Waheed Ahmed said that the country will not be exporting chuarray (dry dates) to India. “We usually export chuarray worth $145 million (210,000 tonnes) to India which are in demand during religious ceremonies and weddings. However, now exports won’t be possible following the attack. Indian buyers are also worried,” he said.

Published in Dawn, February 19th, 2019

Saudi Arabia to invest US$20bn in Pakistan

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman is investing US$20bn under phase one in Pakistan for number of projects in energy, petrochemicals, minerals, tourism and other projects.
 
The crown prince, who is visiting Pakistan for two days on the invitation of Prime Minister Khan, was accorded a red carpet welcome and presented a guard of honour at the Prime Minister’s House.
 
Both government have signed number of MoUs to pave the way for mutual development of projects in future. Expert believes that it will trigger growth in demands of cement in country.